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India Navy : 2020-2030 -The rising tide

2020-2030: The rising tide

While much has been written about the ongoing naval buildup in South East Asia as a response to China, almost nobody has focused on a similar buildup going on in South Asia as the subcontinent’s economies mature enough to build and maintain larger naval forces. This buildup is also interesting as the buildup of the Indian Navy is primarily a byproduct of a rapidly expanding economy coupled with the need to maintain its primacy in the Indian Ocean Region, whereas the Pakistani buildup is designed to contain & frustrate the Indian Navy. Meanwhile, Sri Lanka & Bangladesh are both stepping into uncharted waters by planning to operate larger vessels which they haven’t done as yet & grow from semi-green water navies to true green water navies.

A MH60R Naval Helicopter, the Indian Navy is buying 24 of these.

The Indian navy has a long term plan to grow from a 137 ship navy presently to a 200 ship navy by 2027. This plan is currently under implementation with at least 59 vessels under construction in various yards for delivery in the 2020-30 time period. Another 55 vessels are at the tendering stage and orders for the same should be awarded in some time. The aforesaid 59 vessels already ordered include 1 indigenous aircraft carrier, 3 Scorpene conventional submarines (3 delivered pre-2020), 4 nuclear missile carrying submarines (2 delivered pre 2020), 4 P15B class destroyers, at least 4 Talwar class frigates, 7 P17A Class frigates, 2 Missile range instrumentation vessels and 5 new offshore patrol vessels. The Indian Navy will be adding airpower as well and programs for the induction of 57 new fighter aircraft, 15 new MPA and some 260 odd helicopters are already in progress with orders for 24 MH60R Helicopters & another 4 P8I MPA having already been placed. A deal for the acquisition of 22 Sea Guardian Maritime surveillance drones from the US is also well underway. These ships & aircraft once delivered will provide a substantial augmentation to the firepower of the Indian Navy.

An ADA MILGEM Corvette, the Pakistan Navy is buying four of these.

The Pakistan Navy has also begun its own program of naval growth. Most recently the Pakistan Navy signed a deal in late 2015 to purchase 8 Chinese S20 AIP equipped submarines with all being delivered by 2026. Apart from this Pakistan is also buying 4 F54A Frigates from China which will come equipped with YJ-12 Supersonic anti-ship missiles, another 4 fast attack craft still remain in discussion .Pakistan is also purchasing some 4 ADA MILGEM class corvettes from Turkey while acquiring 2 OPVs from DAMEN in Denmark and 2 OPVs from Swift ships in the USA. These acquisitions will ensure the Pakistan navy maintains a very credible force level of eleven modern submarines and eight frigates all the way to 2030 & give it its first ever force of corvettes and OPVs. Pakistan is also planning on augmenting its maritime aircraft force levels with the induction of more MPAs and JF-17 fighter aircraft as well.

The Bangladesh and SriLankan Navies are also working on their own expansion plans. The Bangladeshi navy has a well chalked out growth plan called forces 2030 under which they will be acquiring 2 more type56 corvettes from China while also looking to Chinese yards for support with building 6 frigates. The Bangladesh navy submarines corps is still in its infancy having just acquired its first 2 MING class SSKs from China nevertheless plans for expanding this into a six submarine fleet with the addition of 4 more KILO or CHANG-BOGO class SSKs is in discussion. The Sri Lankan Navy has a much more modest expansion plan lined up with the induction of one Ex USNAVY Hamilton class cutter and an ex PLAN Type 53 Frigate being the only vessels lined up for now.

Author : Soumik Pyne has a day job as an engineer & is an independent commentator on Defence & Strategic affairs. He can be reached on his twitter id @Aryanwarlord

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